Demand Planning Software That Learns From Every Signal — So You Don't Have To Chase Accuracy

ToolsGroup uses probabilistic AI to deliver forecast accuracy improvements of 5–10 percentage points — even across thousands of SKUs, promotions, and volatile demand patterns. No manual model tuning required.

Recognized in Gartner Magic Quadrant™
for Supply Chain Planning Solutions 
400+
Companies
30+ Years
in Supply Chain
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+5-10pts
Forecast Accuracy Gain 
Average improvement vs. prior method 
Up to 99%
Service Levels
Maintained while cutting inventory costs
50-90%
Reduction in Planner Workload 
Through AI automation 
20-30%
Inventory Reduction
Avg. achieved by customers

Why Probabilistic Forecasting Outperforms Traditional Statistical Methods

 Most demand planning tools pick one statistical model per SKU and stick with it. ToolsGroup generates a distribution of probable outcomes — so you know not just what's likely, but how likely, and what to hold to protect service. 

📊 

Traditional tools give you a single-number forecast. ToolsGroup gives you a probability distribution — you see the 80th percentile, not just the mean.

🔄

AI automatically selects and blends models based on SKU behaviour, promotion flags, seasonality, and external signals — continuously updated, not quarterly.

🎯

Planners stop overriding forecasts. They focus on exceptions — the SKUs that actually need human judgment.

Built for Demand Planning Challenges Like Yours

 Intermittent & Long-Tail Demand 

Traditional models fail on slow-moving SKUs. ToolsGroup's probabilistic engine handles intermittent demand patterns without manual intervention — even for 50,000+ SKU portfolios.

Promotional Lift & New Product Launches 

Incorporate sell-in data, promotional calendars, and external signals to lift forecast accuracy during peak events and NPL periods — without building a separate model.

 Multi-Echelon & Multi-Channel 

Plan demand across distribution centres, retail partners, and e-commerce channels simultaneously. One model, consistent signal, no spreadsheet consolidation.

“We were facing the enormous challenge of organizational change, which included not only the search for a technological tool, but also changes in the organizational structure, processes and systems.” Luis Abadía, Supply Chain Manager, Suministros y Alimentos (McDonald’s Mesoamérica)
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90%+

Service levels reached 

83%

Expedited shipments reduced

7%

Inventory reduced

See ToolsGroup's Demand Planning AI in Action

In 30 minutes, we'll show you a live forecast comparison — ToolsGroup's probabilistic output vs. a traditional statistical model on real supply chain data.

Typically responds within 1 business hour 

See the Results for Yourself

FAQs

How does probabilistic forecasting work with our existing data?

ToolsGroup connects alongside your ERP, point-of-sale, or order data. The AI handles model selection, demand classification, and lost-sales reconstruction automatically — no manual statistical tuning required. 

Our planners are used to Excel. Will they adopt this?

Most planners see the value within the first demo. We provide onboarding, training, and change management support so your team can focus on exceptions instead of manual data crunching.

How accurate is the forecast improvement estimate (5–10pts)?

This is our reported average across customers. In your demo, we will run a proof-of-concept on a sample of your SKUs to generate a tailored accuracy projection.

Can it handle promotions and new product launches?

Yes. ToolsGroup uses AI to model promotional uplift and new product launches, incorporating causal factors, market analogues, and sales input. 

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